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Forex leading economic indicators
when the curve becomes inverted, that is, when the longer-term returns are expected to be less than the short rates. Citation needed The Index of Lagging Indicators is published monthly by The Conference Board, a non-governmental organization, which determines the value of the index from seven components. Money Supply (M2) The money supply measures demand deposits, traveler's checks, savings deposits, currency, money market accounts, and small-denomination time deposits. The data for this component comes from the University of Michigan 's Survey Research Center, and is released once a month. Corporate equities as leading indicator with respect to GDP.
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In a performance measuring system, profit earned by a business is a lagging indicator as it reflects a historical performance; similarly, improved customer satisfaction is the result of initiatives taken in the past. Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) is released by the Conference Board and is one of a handful of reports that measure respondents' perceptions and attitudes. The city of San Francisco, for example, uses the price of a one-bedroom apartment on Craigslist, weekend subway ridership numbers, parking garage usage, and monthly reports on passenger landings at the city's airport. Despite its small sample size and focus on manufacturing, Wall Street watches it closely given its historical reliability in predicting growth in gross domestic product (GDP). Typically the lag is a few quarters of a year. This indicator aggregates net flows for stock, bond and money market mutual funds, but it is largely ignored for several reasons, including that this report omits individual stock purchases and sales, and does not differentiate between systematic investing (i.e., 401(k) contributions) and market timing actions.